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作者:

Liu, Qian (Liu, Qian.) | Li, Fujia (Li, Fujia.) | Peng, Lu (Peng, Lu.) | Dong, Suocheng (Dong, Suocheng.) | Yang, Yang (Yang, Yang.) | Cheng, Hao (Cheng, Hao.)

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摘要:

Sustainable Urban development is an immortal challenge for the world, among which resource -based cities (RBCs) face more complex dilemmas due to their special characteristics. This determines that they are the key areas and difficult areas to achieve sustainable development. This study is oriented to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and constructs a research framework for sustainable development of resource -based cities based on the deconstruction of the SDGs of RBCs. A comprehensive sustainable development evaluation framework was constructed based on DPSIR-Entory, and ESDA and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) models were used to study the sustainability transition effects of RBCs. Based on this, a System Dynamics (SD) model was constructed to predict and simulate the future development of resource -based cities under different scenarios. The results indicated that (1) there is a significant spatial clustering of the sustainable transformation ability of RBCs. (2) different RBCs achieve sustainable development at different rates, and low -growth RBCs show a trend of shifting from the northwest region and the southwest region to the northeast region. (3) DPSIR has different promoting or inhibiting effects on enhancing the sustainable development impact of RBCs regions. (4) to attain sustainable development of RBCs, it is crucial to strike a balance in implementing policies within a multifaceted urban system. This study provides an in-depth analysis of the current situation, problems, opportunities and challenges of the transformation and sustainable development of RBCs nationwide and proposes countermeasures. In order to enhance the study of sustainable development of RBCs, it is of great practical significance for the national RBCs to break the resource curse dilemma and achieve sustainable development.

关键词:

System dynamics DPSIR RBCs GWR Sustainable development

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Qian]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Fujia]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Dong, Suocheng]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Cheng, Hao]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Liu, Qian]Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Li, Fujia]Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Dong, Suocheng]Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Cheng, Hao]Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Peng, Lu]Chengdu Normal Univ, Sch Tourism Management, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Yang, Yang]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Dong, Suocheng]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China

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来源 :

ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS

ISSN: 1470-160X

年份: 2024

卷: 158

6 . 9 0 0

JCR@2022

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次:

SCOPUS被引频次: 12

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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