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作者:

Xu, Meng (Xu, Meng.) | Zhang, Silu (Zhang, Silu.) | Li, Panwei (Li, Panwei.) | Weng, Zhixiong (Weng, Zhixiong.) | Xie, Yang (Xie, Yang.) | Lan, Yan (Lan, Yan.)

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EI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

The Chinese government has announced ambitious carbon reduction goals to address climate change, however, there has been limited scientific attention to the achievement of deep decarbonization in regions with insufficient economic development. Moreover, the complex impacts of climate change mitigation on energy system, environment and economic development remain unclear in Northwest China. Here we construct a comprehensive evaluation model system to evaluate the effects of different climate mitigation pathways in Qinghai, Ningxia, Gansu and Xinjiang provinces. Results show that the four provinces need to vigorously increase the share of electricity that consumed in final energy to 53.1-60.0% and 52.9-62.0% for 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C target, respectively, and reduce total energy demand to 11.6-44.4 Mtoe and 8.2-34.1 Mtoe in 2050. Meanwhile, the CO2 emissions for their energy systems will reach peak by 2025 at lower values. Moreover, the synergies of CO2 reduction are most conducive to abating SO2 pollution and also contributing to decreasing PM2.5 concentrations. Additionally, the GDP losses in 2050 fluctuate from 5.0 to 21.7 billion USD in the 2 degrees C scenario to 11.5-52.7 billion USD in the 1.5 degrees C scenario. Our study provides practical guidance on achieving carbon reductions in less developed regions of China and lays foundations to promote decarbonization of energy systems in other provinces.

关键词:

Climate change mitigation Energy system Carbon emission reduction Northwest China Pollutant mitigation Economic losses

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Xu, Meng]Wuhan Inst Technol, Sch Management, Wuhan 430205, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Silu]Peking Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Panwei]Minist Ecol & Environm, Foreign Environm Cooperat Ctr, Beijing 100035, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Lan, Yan]Minist Ecol & Environm, Foreign Environm Cooperat Ctr, Beijing 100035, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Weng, Zhixiong]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Circular Econ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Xie, Yang]Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Xie, Yang]Beihang Univ, Lab Low Carbon Intelligent Governance, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Lan, Yan]Minist Ecol & Environm, Foreign Environm Cooperat Ctr, Beijing 100035, Peoples R China;;[Xie, Yang]Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China

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来源 :

APPLIED ENERGY

ISSN: 0306-2619

年份: 2024

卷: 358

1 1 . 2 0 0

JCR@2022

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SCOPUS被引频次: 11

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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