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作者:

Zhao, Zhao (Zhao, Zhao.) | Lu, Zhao-Hui (Lu, Zhao-Hui.) | Zhao, Yan-Gang (Zhao, Yan-Gang.) | Xu, Teng-Fei (Xu, Teng-Fei.) | Zhang, Yan-Fei (Zhang, Yan-Fei.)

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EI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

In the safety assessment of structures, the simultaneous consideration of aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty (generally represented by random variables and interval variables, respectively) is increasingly recognized. From the angle of the tradeoff of efficiency and accuracy, finding a solution for this problem remains challengeable. Motivated by this, this paper proposes a novel random-interval reliability analysis method, called ALK-TSS-HRA, by combining active learning Kriging (ALK) and two-phase subset simulation (TSS). Based on the idea that small failure probability can be converted into the product of a series of large failure probabilities, the proposed TSS evaluates the upper and lower bounds of failure probability in two phases. The estimation of lower bound in the second phase makes full use of the upper bound and failure samples in the first phase, so as to achieve high efficiency. Furthermore, Kriging metamodel is used to substitute the actual limit state function in TSS to lower the computational overhead. In ALK-TSS-HRA, the training points mostly contributing to the estimations of the upper and lower bounds of failure probability are identified in two phases of TSS, respectively. Then, the Kriging metamodel is sequentially updated in a series of small intermediate sample pools, which greatly shortens the training time. The computational efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method is demonstrated by its comparison with the state-of-the-art methods through four representative examples.

关键词:

Random and interval variables Active learning Small failure probability Two-phase subset simulation Kriging metamodel

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhao, Zhao]Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 1 Engn Dr 2, Singapore 117576, Singapore
  • [ 2 ] [Lu, Zhao-Hui]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhao, Yan-Gang]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Xu, Teng-Fei]Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Dept Bridge Engn, Chengdu 610031, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhang, Yan-Fei]China Railway Major Bridge Reconnaissance & Design, Wuhan 430050, Hubei, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Lu, Zhao-Hui]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;

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来源 :

STRUCTURES

ISSN: 2352-0124

年份: 2024

卷: 63

4 . 1 0 0

JCR@2022

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SCOPUS被引频次: 4

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