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作者:

Liu, Chaofeng (Liu, Chaofeng.) | Su, Jingyu (Su, Jingyu.) (学者:苏经宇) | Zuo, Xiangjun (Zuo, Xiangjun.) | Wang, Wei (Wang, Wei.) (学者:王伟)

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摘要:

Considering the characteristics of urban space layout, earthquake and its secondary disasters, and the problems to restriction and nonlinearity of evacuation capacity evaluation, the factors such as population, buildings, green spaces, roads, seismic refuges for evacuation, major hazard installations are selected as evaluation indexes in aspects of people, objects, environment and disaster, based on the principles of security, reachability and evacuation validity. The self-determined intelligent evaluation method of urban earthquake evacuation capacity is proposed based on the concept of dominance and intelligent algorithms. Firstly, the prior order of the evaluation indexes is determined by calculating the absolute dominance degree and relative dominance degree. Secondly, the position weighted vector and the evaluation value vector of the evaluation object are solved by leapfrog algorithm optimizing IOWA operator. Finally, the optimal evaluation vector is obtained by the aggregated model of evacuation values. Example shows that the evaluation results reflect the reality of the urban earthquake evacuation affected by a variety of factors. It is highly acceptable, and provides the a basis for decision making for urban earthquake evacuation planning.

关键词:

Behavioral research Decision making Disasters Earthquakes Shelters (from attack)

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Chaofeng]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Su, Jingyu]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Su, Jingyu]Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Zuo, Xiangjun]Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Wei]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 6 ] [Wang, Wei]Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China

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来源 :

China Civil Engineering Journal

ISSN: 1000-131X

年份: 2013

期: SUPPL.1

卷: 46

页码: 304-307

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