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作者:

Jiang, Kejun (Jiang, Kejun.) | Sha Chen (Sha Chen.) (学者:陈莎) | He, Chenmin (He, Chenmin.) | Jia Liu (Jia Liu.) | Sun Kuo (Sun Kuo.) | Li Hong (Li Hong.) | Zhu, Songli (Zhu, Songli.) | Xiang Pianpian (Xiang Pianpian.)

收录:

Scopus SCIE

摘要:

In China, Energy transition was proposed in the "12th Five-Year Plan" and gained resilient support by "Energy Revolution" announced by President Xi Jinping in 2014. In Paris Agreement, there are targets set up for 2100 to be well below 2 degrees C, with ambitious target on 1.5 degrees C. China signed the agreement and will support the global target. In the meantime, large-scale actions were initiated in 2013 by the national action plan on air pollution control for the period from 2013 to 2017. None of these strategies has clear long-term target. In our studies, energy transition will be decided by the long-term target of CO2 emission reduction, air pollutant reduction, and energy security. This paper will present the analysis from IPAC model, by setting up reduction target for CO2 emission under the global 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C target. Energy transition, CO2 emission, and air pollutant reduction will be discussed based on these targets. For air pollutants, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, black carbon, and mercury will be included. From the results, there will be a significant energy transition by large-scale use of renewable energy, nuclear and the share of coal will be reduced to less than 20% in 2050 from 66% in 2015. Energy transition will also contribute to a drastic reduction in air pollutants.

关键词:

China CO2 mitigation Air pollutant Scenario Energy transition

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Jiang, Kejun]Chinese Acad Macroecon Res, Energy Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Sha Chen]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Environm & Energy Engn, Key Lab Beijing Reg Air Pollut Control, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [He, Chenmin]Peking Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Jia Liu]Renm Consulting, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Sun Kuo]Renm Consulting, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Li Hong]Renm Consulting, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Zhu, Songli]Energy Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Xiang Pianpian]Tsinghua Univ, Sch Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • 陈莎

    [Sha Chen]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Environm & Energy Engn, Key Lab Beijing Reg Air Pollut Control, Beijing, Peoples R China

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来源 :

NATURAL HAZARDS

ISSN: 0921-030X

年份: 2019

期: 3

卷: 99

页码: 1277-1293

3 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: GEOSCIENCES;

ESI高被引阀值:123

JCR分区:2

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 16

SCOPUS被引频次: 18

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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