Traffic accidents macro model based on panel data - 文章详情页

作者：

Wang, Jun-Lei (Wang, Jun-Lei.) | Sun, Xiao-Duan (Sun, Xiao-Duan.) | He, Yu-Long (He, Yu-Long.) | Xu, Ting (Xu, Ting.)

收录：

EI Scopus PKU CSCD

摘要：

To　explore　the　relationship　between　traffic　accidents　and　the　macroeconomic　factors,　the　authors　collects　historical　data　from　seven　counties　from　1963　to　2005　to　analyze　the　principle　of　traffic　accidents.　Panel　data　model　is　selected　to　measure　the　impacts　of　various　factors　after　comparison　because　of　its　advantages　of　combinating　time　series　models　and　cross　section　models.　Fixed-effects　model　and　random　effects　model　are　used　to　estimate　accidents　respectively.　Husman　tests　are　used　to　decide　which　model　is　to　choose.　Results　show　that　the　fixed　effect　model　well　describes　accidents　and　100000　population　fatality　rates,　and　other　economic　indicators.　The　discussion　shows　that　as　the　economic　development,　China＇s　current　GDP　and　vehicles　ownership　keep　growing　in　a　few　years　and　100000　population　fatality　rates　continue　to　increase.

关键词：

Accidents Economics Random processes

作者机构：

[ 1 ] [Wang, Jun-Lei]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
[ 2 ] [Sun, Xiao-Duan]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
[ 3 ] [He, Yu-Long]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
[ 4 ] [Xu, Ting]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China

通讯作者信息：

电子邮件地址：

wangjunlei@emails.bjut.edu.cn

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