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作者:

Zhong, Lian-De (Zhong, Lian-De.) | Sun, Xiao-Duan (Sun, Xiao-Duan.) | Chen, Yong-Sheng (Chen, Yong-Sheng.) | He, Yu-Long (He, Yu-Long.) | Zhang, Jie (Zhang, Jie.)

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摘要:

The author clarified the relationship between volume to capacity ratio (V/C) and crash rate using three years crash and traffic flow data of a freeway. This relationship can be used as a basic reference to predict and prevent traffic accidents. The hourly crash rate model, having an independent variable of hourly V/C, was established by regression analysis, and the relationship between crash rate and V/C ratio represented by a U-shaped curve. The crash rate is the highest in the low hourly V/C range, decreases with an increasing V/C ratio, and then increases as the V/C ratio increases. When the V/C is 0.58, the crash rate is the lowest.

关键词:

Accident prevention Highway accidents Highway systems Regression analysis Traffic surveys

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhong, Lian-De]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 2 ] [Sun, Xiao-Duan]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen, Yong-Sheng]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 4 ] [He, Yu-Long]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhang, Jie]Beijing Key Lab. of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China

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来源 :

Journal of Beijing University of Technology

ISSN: 0254-0037

年份: 2007

期: 1

卷: 33

页码: 37-40

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