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作者:

Xia, Ya-Qin (Xia, Ya-Qin.) | Chen, Wei-Sheng (Chen, Wei-Sheng.) | Li, Jun-Zhi (Li, Jun-Zhi.) | Qin, Fei (Qin, Fei.) (学者:秦飞)

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摘要:

Imminent earthquake prediction is to determine the three elements, when, where and the magnitude of an earthquake that would happened in 10 days. The institute has made those predictions continuously for more than 20 years by using multidiscipline observing method. Currently the method can predict one or two elements of the three by synthesizing all observed abnormal indictors. The successful predictions include Baotou Ms6.4 earthquake in 1996, Xinjiang Jiashi Ms6.3-6.6 strong group earthquake in 1997, Japan Yidou Island Ms6.4 in 2000, Taiwan Ms 7.5 in 2001. Some breakthrough were made in predicting earthquakes bursting several thousands miles away, which had been regarded as a world wide difficult problem. This paper presented, assessed and summarized some yearly and imminent prediction from 2003 according to the specific grade standard.

关键词:

Standards Earthquakes Forecasting Earthquake resistance

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Xia, Ya-Qin]Institute of Earthquake Research, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen, Wei-Sheng]Institute of Earthquake Research, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Jun-Zhi]Institute of Earthquake Research, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 4 ] [Qin, Fei]Institute of Earthquake Research, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China

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来源 :

Journal of Beijing University of Technology

ISSN: 0254-0037

年份: 2006

期: 1

卷: 32

页码: 11-14

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