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作者:

Li, Jihan (Li, Jihan.) | Li, Xiaoli (Li, Xiaoli.) (学者:李晓理) | Wang, Linkun (Wang, Linkun.) | Li, Yang (Li, Yang.) | Wang, Kang (Wang, Kang.)

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摘要:

To accurately predict the concentration of PM2.5 in the atmosphere, this paper establishes LSSVR prediction model based on historical data of atmospheric PM2.5 concentration. The parameters of LSSVR model are optimized by particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO). According to PM2.5 concentration data per hour and meteorological conditions from June to August 2017 in Beijing, other PM2.5 concentration prediction models are established, which include ANN prediction model and $\varepsilon$-SVR prediction model. By comparing the prediction errors of these three prediction models, the calculated mean absolute error of the ANN prediction model was 25.24%, the mean absolute percent error of $\varepsilon$-SVR is 10.39%, and the mean absolute percent error of PSO-LSSVR model is 4.95%. The simulation results show that the PSO-LSSVR model is better than ANN model and $\varepsilon$-SVR model, and the PSO-LSSVR model has less computational time and reduces the complexity of the algorithm. Therefore, the proposed PSO-LSSVR algorithm is effective and reliable by predicting PM2.5 concentration. © 2019 IEEE.

关键词:

Computational complexity Errors Forecasting Learning systems Particle swarm optimization (PSO) Predictive analytics Support vector regression Weather forecasting

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Jihan]Beijing University of Technology, Faculty of Information Technology, 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Xiaoli]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Future Internet Technology, Engineering Research Center of Digital Community, Ministry of Education, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Linkun]Instrumentation Technology Economy Institute, Beijing; 100055, China
  • [ 4 ] [Li, Yang]Communication University of China, Beijing; 100024, China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Kang]Beijing University of Technology, Faculty of Information Technology, 100124, China

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年份: 2019

页码: 723-727

语种: 英文

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SCOPUS被引频次: 2

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