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作者:

Xie, Hailun (Xie, Hailun.) | Wei, Shen (Wei, Shen.) | Zhang, Li (Zhang, Li.) | Ng, Bobo (Ng, Bobo.) | Pan, Song (Pan, Song.) (学者:潘嵩)

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EI

摘要:

Previous studies have demonstrated diverse effects of different factors on occupant window behaviours. It is necessary to choose appropriate subsets of different behavioural window opening features, and to eliminate irrelevant and redundant features so as to avoid overfitting, noise and random fluctuations being learned by the model, and improve the accuracy of predictive models of window opening. The choice of protocols for the selection of features has been widely accepted as one of the most important steps in developing machine learning prediction algorithms. This study employed the use of both a recursive and a non-recursive feature selection method designed to consider all influencing factors simultaneously to explore the confounding effects inherent in various factors pertaining to the prediction of window opening behaviour. Two machine learning algorithms were applied as estimators in a recursive selection process, namely support vector classification (SVC), logistic regression (LR), and one in a non-recursive process, namely random forest (RF). Additionally, two processing schemes in the recursive method analysis were tried to determine the optimal feature subset based on corresponding algorithms, namely recursive feature elimination (RFE) and recursive feature elimination with cross validation (RFECV). Seven factors were considered in the feature selection process based on collected data, including: indoor temperature, outdoor temperature, relative humidity, concentrations of PM2.5, air quality index (AQI), wind speed and wind direction respectively. The results showed that different feature subsets can generate different prediction accuracy within the recursive method. RFECV can determine the most appropriate feature subset effectively with the consideration of the correlation among various factors. Both LR and SVC were proved to be effective as estimators embedded in RFECV, however SVC is more computationally expensive and LR shows a larger variance within the feature subset space. RF, as a non-recursive method, demonstrated real advantages in eliminating redundant features compared to the recursive feature selection process. © 2018 Proceedings of 10th Windsor Conference: Rethinking Comfort.

关键词:

Air quality Decision trees Feature extraction Forecasting Learning algorithms Logistic regression Machine learning Predictive analytics Set theory Space heating Static Var compensators Support vector regression Wind

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Xie, Hailun]Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Northumbria University, Newcastle, United Kingdom
  • [ 2 ] [Wei, Shen]Bartlett School of Construction and Project Management, University College London, London, United Kingdom
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang, Li]Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Northumbria University, Newcastle, United Kingdom
  • [ 4 ] [Ng, Bobo]Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Northumbria University, Newcastle, United Kingdom
  • [ 5 ] [Pan, Song]College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China

通讯作者信息:

  • [xie, hailun]faculty of engineering and environment, northumbria university, newcastle, united kingdom

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年份: 2018

页码: 315-328

语种: 英文

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