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作者:

Li, Jiangeng (Li, Jiangeng.) | Shao, Xingyang (Shao, Xingyang.) | Zhao, Huihong (Zhao, Huihong.)

收录:

EI Scopus

摘要:

With rapid modernization, air quality is becoming gradually deteriorate. To avoid the adverse effects of severe air pollution on human health, we need accurate real-time air quality prediction. The factors relevant to air pollutant concentration forecasting contain simultaneously numeric type (temperature etc.) and non-numeric type (wind direction etc.). Random Forest has many advantages, which includes it can deal with numeric features and non-numeric features. In this study, an online forecasting method based on Random Forest is proposed to predict the concentrations of three kinds of air pollutants (PM2.5, NO2, SO2), 24 hours in advance. The sliding window is used to take the recent data to retrain Random Forest prediction model and the well-trained models is used to predict the dependent variable at target moment. Before prediction model is trained, a variable selection method based on Random Forests (VSURF) is used to select the factors that are relevant to the forecast of air pollutant concentrations. We evaluate our method with dataset from Microsoft Research. Comparison with baseline methods shows that our method achieve state-of-art performance on air pollutant concentration forecasting. Experimental results also indicate that the features we selected using VSURF method are most important predictors for the prediction of three kinds of air pollutant concentrations. © 2018 Technical Committee on Control Theory, Chinese Association of Automation.

关键词:

Air quality Decision trees Feature extraction Forecasting Predictive analytics Random forests

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Jiangeng]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, College of Automation, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Jiangeng]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Shao, Xingyang]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, College of Automation, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Shao, Xingyang]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhao, Huihong]School of Electromechanical Engineering, Dezhou University, Dezhou, Shandong; 253023, China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhao, Huihong]Clean Energy Research and Technology Promotion Center, Dezhou University, Dezhou, Shandong; 253023, China

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ISSN: 1934-1768

年份: 2018

卷: 2018-July

页码: 9641-9648

语种: 英文

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 0

SCOPUS被引频次: 15

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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