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作者:

Ren, Haiying (Ren, Haiying.) | Cao, Meng (Cao, Meng.)

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摘要:

With the accelerating pace of technological innovation, the uncertainty of technology development is also increasing, so it is important to estimate the trend of technology development through scientific and reasonable technology foresight. One of the recent foresight methods is TFDEA, which is based on data envelopment analysis and is theorectically an effective quantitative approach for technology forecasting. However, the application and research of TFDEA are relatively modest. In this paper, TFDEA is applied in assessing and forecasting the quantitative trends in the mobile terminal technology with its effectiveness tested. © 2011 IEEE.

关键词:

Computer networks Computer terminals Data envelopment analysis Mobile telecommunication systems Technological forecasting Uncertainty analysis

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Ren, Haiying]Economics and Management School, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
  • [ 2 ] [Cao, Meng]Economics and Management School, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China

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来源 :

年份: 2011

卷: 3

页码: 1939-1942

语种: 英文

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WoS核心集被引频次: 0

SCOPUS被引频次: 2

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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