For　the　＇Passive　and　Rushing＇　work　pattern　issues　in　the　urban　management,　this　paper　establishes　a　prediction　model　and　a　warning　model　for　the　urban　management　issues　using　prediction　and　warning　theories,　which　based　on　the　warning　index　system.　The　prediction　model　is　constructed　on　the　basis　of　urban　management　hotline　data　with　the　occurrence　frequency　features　of　the　urban　management　issues.　The　paper　has　considerable　results　with　the　quadratic　curve　smoothing　method　and　optimal　search　for　smoothing　parameters　with　0.618　optimization　method.　Furthermore,　by　analyzing　the　generation　factors　and　characters　of　urban　management　issues,　it　also　establishes　a　warning　model　to　promote　urban　management　assistance.　Practical　instances　show　that　the　presented　method　in　this　paper　has　accurate　prediction　for　the　frequency　of　urban　management　issues.　It　will　provide　reliable　evidences　for　the　managers　to　handle　the　urban　management　issues　more　effectively　and　change　the　negative　mode　of　＇After　Management＇　to　be　a　more　positive　one.　It　also　brings　a　referential　idea　for　the　innovations　of　urban　management　patterns.　©2010　IEEE.