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The travel speed prediction method proposed in this paper takes advantages of fuzzy inference systems that are insensitive to random noise, robust to uncertainties, and transparent to interpretation. The collected traffic data is pre-processed by removing the outliers based on the density distribution of the raw data. Subsequently, a clustering is performed on the pre-processed data to construct a Gaussian mixture model and this mixture model is then used to identify the parameters for the fuzzy inference system. A comparative evaluation of the proposed prediction method was conducted using the real traffic data. The results indicate that the proposed prediction method gives an improved performance. © 2010 ASCE.
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