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This paper uses CVaR as a measure of risk to study portfolio investment of urban real estate and establish an optimization model for the portfolio investment. Through this model, the loss of a real estate investment and the optimum portfolio within a single urban area can be calculated at a given confidence level. Then this model is applied to calculate the risk and the investment portfolio based on indexes of real estates of the different districts and types in the city of Shenzhen from June 2006 to August 2008. The empirical study shows that the risk obtained by the optimal model based on CVaR is better than the one based on VaR. The main risk control strategy is then to choose the investment portfolio that has low-risk CVaR so as to reduce project risk and to improve the stability of return on investment. ©2009 IEEE.
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年份: 2009
语种: 英文
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