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作者:

Wang, Jiwu (Wang, Jiwu.) | Huang, Lucheng (Huang, Lucheng.) (学者:黄鲁成) | Lu, Wenguang (Lu, Wenguang.) | Li, Jian (Li, Jian.)

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摘要:

Due to uncertainties and complexities give birth to the future of emerging technologies, conventional methods for technology evaluation are subjected to many drawbacks and limitations. Even though we can divide a complex system into subsystems, the relative weights of the subsystems are also a crucial problem, because of these subsystems usually exist interdependence and feedback. This paper discusses the industrialization potential evaluation system based on Delphi survey, and evaluates the industrialization potential of emerging technologies using the analytic network process (ANP). A complete ANP model and pairwise comparisons are generated in this paper though the Super Decision software, and supermatrix calculation and sensitivity analysis are discussed at last. Benefits of the approach are detailed through illustrative example. ©2007 PICMET.

关键词:

Sensitivity analysis Decision theory

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Jiwu]School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China
  • [ 2 ] [Huang, Lucheng]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 3 ] [Lu, Wenguang]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China
  • [ 4 ] [Li, Jian]School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China

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年份: 2007

页码: 1209-1219

语种: 英文

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WoS核心集被引频次: 0

SCOPUS被引频次: 1

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