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The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region is concentrated with steel industry and is the most prominent area of air pollution in China. Analysis of the medium and long-term emission reduction by using various pollution control tools in the steel industry is of great significance for selecting the optimal emission reduction policy to accelerate the air pollution control in the region. This paper simulated and calculated the emission of the major pollutants SO2, NOx, PM10, PM2.5, CO2, and their corresponding emission reduction effects under eight scenarios of both single and collaborative emission reductions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region from 2015 to 2030. This is based on the constructed LEAP-Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei iron and steel industry model, using 2015 as the base year and 5 years as a period, combined with four emission reduction measures, which are scale emission reduction, structural emission reduction, technology emission reduction and end treatment. The results showed that under a single emission reduction scenario, the scale emission reduction scenario had significant effects on the reduction of the five pollutants compared with other scenarios. Under the scenario of collaborative emissions reduction, the integrated emission reduction scenarios with the four superimposed measures worked best. Under this scenario, SO2, NOx, PM10, PM2.5 and CO2 pollutant emissions of the iron and steel industry in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region would be reduced by 27.73×104, 17.85×104, 42.94×104, 27.35×104 and 23.15×107 t in 2030. Compared with the comprehensive scenario, the reduction effect of end treatment was only second to the integrated scenario, except for the reduction of CO2 emission. The reduction-structure scenario had relatively significant reduction effect on PM10 and PM2.5, as the reduction-technology scenario did on CO2, SO2 and NOx. Therefore, it is necessary for the iron and steel industry in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region to make more effort in eliminating the backward and excess production capacity, as well as reducing the output at the source origin. On this basis, it is also needed to continuously strengthen end treatment, increase scrap ratios, and increase the level of energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies, in order to improve the potential for pollution control and emission reduction. © 2019, Editorial Board, Research of Environmental Sciences. All right reserved.
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