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作者:

Zhang, Wen (Zhang, Wen.) | Du, Yuhang (Du, Yuhang.) | Yoshida, Taketoshi (Yoshida, Taketoshi.) | Wang, Qing (Wang, Qing.) | Li, Xiangjun (Li, Xiangjun.)

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摘要:

Monitoring and predicting the trend of bug number time series of a software system is crucial for both software project managers and software end-users. For software managers, accurate prediction of bug number of a software system will assist them in making timely decisions, such as effort investment and resource allocation. For software end-users, knowing possible bug number of their systems ahead will enable them to adopt timely actions in coping with the loss caused by possible system failures. This study proposes an approach called SamEn-SVR to combine sample entropy and support vector regression (SVR) to predict software bug number using time series analysis. The basic idea is to use template vectors with the smallest complexity as input vectors for SVR classifiers to ensure predictability of time series. By using Mozilla Firefox bug data, we conduct extensive experiments to compare the proposed approach and state-of-the-art techniques including auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), X12 enhanced ARIMA and polynomial regression to predict bug number time series. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed SamEn-SVR approach outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in bug number prediction.

关键词:

autoregressive moving average processes bug number prediction bug number time series entropy input vectors Mozilla Firefox bug data pattern classification program debugging regression analysis SamEn-SVR approach sample entropy software bug number software end-users software management software project managers software system support vector machines support vector regression SVR classifiers template vectors time series time series analysis vectors

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Res Ctr Big Data Sci, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Du, Yuhang]Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Res Ctr Big Data Sci, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Yoshida, Taketoshi]Japan Adv Inst Sci & Technol, Sch Knowledge Sci, 1-1 Ashahidai, Nomi City, Ishikawa 9231292, Japan
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Qing]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Software, State Key Lab Comp Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Li, Xiangjun]Xian Univ, Sch Informat Engn, Xian 710065, Shaanxi, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Zhang, Wen]Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Res Ctr Big Data Sci, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China

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来源 :

IET SOFTWARE

ISSN: 1751-8806

年份: 2018

期: 3

卷: 12

页码: 183-189

1 . 6 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: COMPUTER SCIENCE;

ESI高被引阀值:81

JCR分区:4

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 10

SCOPUS被引频次: 15

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

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