Severe　outdoor　haze　pollution　has　brought　about　associated　public　health　impacts　for　China　in　recent　years.　Haze　pollution　therefore　has　become　one　of　the　most　serious　environmental　problems　in　China.　To　alleviate　this,　the　government　issued　its　National　Air　Pollution　Control　NACAP　(NAPCAP)　in　2013　containing　pollution　reduction　targets　for　2017　and　beyond.　However,　there　are　doubts　whether　these　targets　can　be　achieved.　This　paper　examines　this　issue　by　modeling　the　statistical　relationship　between　PM2.5　concentration　and　air　pollutant　emissions　(SO2,　NOx,　etc.),　together　with　wind　and　neighboring　transfer　impacts　at　the　city　level,　to　identify　ways　of　calculating　intended　maximum　emission　levels　in　the　Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei　area.　The　results　indicate　that　local　air　pollutant　emissions,　lagged　PM2.5　concentrations,　wind　speed,　and　PM2.5　concentrations　in　adjacent　areas　have　a　significant　impact　on　PM2.5　concentrations　in　the　Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei　area.　The　2017　haze　concentration　control　targets　could　not　be　achieved　through　the　current　NAPCAP　plan,　with　PM2.5　concentration　levels　in　many　locations　being　predicted　as　between　two　and　three　times　those　targeted.　However,　the　2017　concentration　target　can　be　fulfilled　given　the　pollutant　reduction　rates　of　NAPCAP　plus　Enhanced　Measures　of　Air　Pollution　Control　for　Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei　region　(EMAPC)　under　the　same　wind　conditions　as　2016.　There　are　large　deviations　between　the　simulation　and　monitor　values　of　PM2.5　concentration　when　it　is　less　windy,　and　the　simulation　value　of　most　cities　are　generally　lower　than　the　monitor　values.　The　unsuccessful　implementation　of　pollutant　reduction　measures　and　inaccuracy　of　the　monitor　data　are　two　possible　reasons　to　explain　the　relatively　large　deviations　involved.　Finally,　some　preliminary　institutional　causes　of　haze　pollution　and　solutions　for　its　control　in　the　Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei　area　are　discussed.　(C)　2018　Elsevier　Ltd.　All　rights　reserved.