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作者:

Liu, X. (Liu, X..) (学者:刘晓) | Su, J. (Su, J..) | Wang, W. (Wang, W..) (学者:王伟) | Ma, D. (Ma, D..)

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摘要:

In view of the characteristics of urban earthquake disaster resistance and prevention system such as multilevel and large-scale complexity, dynamics and self-organization, this paper proposed an evaluation model of urban earthquake disaster resistance and prevention based on systematic dynamics theory. First, relative research achievements in this respect was reviewed, and the shortage of the previous researches on it was summarized; second, the framework of the evaluation model of urban earthquake disaster resistance and prevention capacity was given based on system dynamics, the index system of the evaluation model was established, the dynamics and causality feedback mechanism of the urban earthquake disaster prevention system was analyzed, and the basic diagrams of causality and systematic dynamics flow was drawn. Finally, the model is verified by an example of some city ' s regional vulnerability.

关键词:

Causality feedback; Dynamic correlation; Simulation; Systematic dynamics; Urban earthquake disaster resistance and prevention capacity

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, X.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, China, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, X.]College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Su, J.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, China, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, W.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, China, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, W.]College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
  • [ 6 ] [Ma, D.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, China, Beijing 100124, China

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来源 :

Journal of Natural Disasters

ISSN: 1004-4574

年份: 2013

期: 5

卷: 22

页码: 71-76

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