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作者:

Gao, Junjie (Gao, Junjie.) | Xie, Yanan (Xie, Yanan.) | Gu, Feng (Gu, Feng.) | Xiao, Wei (Xiao, Wei.) | Hu, Juanjuan (Hu, Juanjuan.) | Yu, Wenlong (Yu, Wenlong.)

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Scopus SCIE

摘要:

In this article, a novel Hybrid method based on particle swarm optimization and ant colony optimization (HPA) is proposed to forecast automobile sales of China. Proposed hybrid model integrating particle swarm optimization and ant colony optimization for estimation of Chinese automobile sales (HPAE) is the first model using aforementioned meta-heuristic techniques. HPA is developed for automobile sales forecasting using highway mileage, gross domestic product, automobile ownership, and consumer price index. HPAE is developed in two forms including both Linear (HPAEL) and Quadratic (HPAEQ). Then, in order to show the accuracy of the algorithm, a comparison is made with ant colony optimization and particle swarm optimization. The results show that mean absolute errors of the HPAE model are the best among them, and better-fit solutions are provided by quadratic form (HPAEQ) due to fluctuations of the influential indicators in China.

关键词:

ant colony optimization automobile sales forecasting hybrid meta-heuristic method Particle swarm optimization

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Gao, Junjie]Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Automot Engn, Dalian, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xie, Yanan]Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Automot Engn, Dalian, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Gu, Feng]Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Automot Engn, Dalian, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Xiao, Wei]Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Automot Engn, Dalian, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Hu, Juanjuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Hu, Juanjuan]Minist Transport Peoples Republ China, Transport Management Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Yu, Wenlong]Tianjin Univ, Sch Architecture, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Yu, Wenlong]Tianjin Univ, Sch Architecture, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China

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来源 :

ADVANCES IN MECHANICAL ENGINEERING

ISSN: 1687-8132

年份: 2017

期: 8

卷: 9

2 . 1 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENGINEERING;

ESI高被引阀值:92

中科院分区:4

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 11

SCOPUS被引频次: 17

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

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