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作者:

Su, J.-Y. (Su, J.-Y..) (学者:苏经宇) | Liu, X.-R. (Liu, X.-R..) | Wang, W. (Wang, W..) (学者:王伟) | Ma, D.-H. (Ma, D.-H..) (学者:马东辉)

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Scopus PKU CSCD

摘要:

It is difficult to solve the problem of quantifying the cities' ability of earthquake resistance and hazardous prevention because it has the characteristics of nonlinear, complexity, dynamics and self-organizing. The paper proposes an evaluation model for cities' ability of earthquake resistance and hazardous prevention and achieves dynamic assessment based on system dynamics and earthquake time series. Firstly, the relevant research achievements on cities' ability of earthquake resistance and hazardous prevention were reviewed, and the disadvantages of previous achievements were summarized. Secondly, the basic theory and framework of the evaluation model was given based on system dynamics. Finally, three models that the emergency evacuation in key areas before the quake, the short-term evacuation in weak areas and the buried casualties and emergency rescue after the quake were conducted by using system dynamics. The models provide references for urban earthquake relief through simulations and the practicability of system dynamics on cities' earthquake resistance and hazardous prevention was verified. ©, 2015, Beijing University of Technology. All right reserved.

关键词:

Causal feedback; Cities' ability of earthquake resistance and hazardous prevention; Dynamic simulation; System dynamics

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Su, J.-Y.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, X.-R.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Liu, X.-R.]College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, W.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Ma, D.-H.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China

通讯作者信息:

  • 苏经宇

    [Su, J.-Y.]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of TechnologyChina

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来源 :

Journal of Beijing University of Technology

ISSN: 0254-0037

年份: 2015

期: 5

卷: 41

页码: 709-717

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 0

SCOPUS被引频次: 3

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