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作者:

Xie, Y. L. (Xie, Y. L..) | Xia, D. H. (Xia, D. H..) | Ji, L. (Ji, L..) (学者:嵇灵) | Zhou, W. N. (Zhou, W. N..) | Huang, G. H. (Huang, G. H..)

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EI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

Energy structure adjustment is a significant way to resolve constrained resources and environment, improve the security of energy supply, and achieve sustainable development, which is a complicated itself but further challenged by existence of uncertainties. In this study, an inexact multistage stochastic cost-risk balanced programming model is developed for energy system management under considering the policies of coal-consumption control and pollutants emission reduction. The method is an integration of inexact multistage stochastic programming and a risk management tools from modern financial theory, and could tackle uncertainties described as interval values and probability distributions. The method could reflect energy system dynamic characteristic in a multi-period problem, and provide an effective linkage between conflicting economic cost and the system stability. The proposed method is applied to a real case of planning electric power structure adjustment in Shandong province, China, where the energy system is faced with lots of difficulties complexities in electric power structure adjustment. The impact of coal-consumption control level and pollutants emission reduction scenarios on energy system structure adjustment, and resources and environmental effect were compared and analyzed. The results are valuable for supporting the adjustment or justification of the existing power generation schemes of the complicated regional energy system. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

关键词:

Coal-consumption control Cost-risk balance Electric power structure adjustment Pollutants emission reduction Stochastic optimization

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Xie, Y. L.]Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Energy & Environm Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xia, D. H.]Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Energy & Environm Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhou, W. N.]Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Energy & Environm Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Ji, L.]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Huang, G. H.]Univ Regina, Fac Engn, Environm Syst Engn Program, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada

通讯作者信息:

  • [Xie, Y. L.]Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Sch Energy & Environm Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China

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来源 :

ENERGY

ISSN: 0360-5442

年份: 2017

卷: 126

页码: 374-391

9 . 0 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENGINEERING;

ESI高被引阀值:92

中科院分区:1

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 9

SCOPUS被引频次: 12

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

近30日浏览量: 2

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